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Monday, January 19, 2015

Market Update Jan 2015 (Year End Recap)



I hope this post finds you well! 2014 ended up being a consistent year for the Lehigh Valley

Lets Start with the Lehigh Valley Association of Realtors Report. Please click here for the full Report.

(a)








2013 Prices Decreased by -2.4% and 2014 prices increased by +2.1%

Reaction: It is good to see average price growth. Of course, this small fluctuation is not too much to be exuberant about. However, I think market consistency is important to make people feel safe about housing.

(b) Pended Sales -- Sales Rate



Reaction: For the course of the year Under Contract homes are consistent with 2013. It is interesting  that December had a  strong comparison at +24% month Year over Year. I would guess this is due to Oil Prices plunging and the interest rates going with it.

(c) Closed Sales:

Reaction: December was also a strong year for closed sales? Hmm, my guess is the interest rate/oil plunge had something to do with this successful month. It also seems the Lehigh Valley buyers are willing to buy. It is a bummer that for the whole year there was less closed sales. However, there was a lesser supply of distressed properties for sale, so I think the closed sales from last year is an overall positive. (Last year it was 13.1% as compared to 10.8% this year.)


continued from above.
(d) The top three School Districts by Average Sales Price performance

1. Saucon Valley +29.9%
2. Catasaqua +15.3 % (this likely has to do with the Traditions of America Sales)
3.  Northern Lehigh 8.3%

2. Zillow Update. Please click here for the full report. 

Negative Equity: I am personally excited to see negative equity decline below 20.0% in 2015.

It has in many spots in the Lehigh Valley, it will be nice for it to diminish at the aggregate level.

Conclusion: 2014 was a steady as she goes kind of year and 2015 seems like it will be an even better year.